The Economy

This week the government reported that the economy shrunk at a rate of -.3% for the second calendar quarter starting 7/1/08 – the date that will probably be the start of the recession of 2008 -09.  Readers of this Weekly Commentary should not be taken by surprise by this news.  As early as January 28, 2008 we warned you of this possibility by stating, “I must draw to your attention the consequences of a recession in the U.S. that may spread around the globe.  One possible outcome of such an event is an extended downturn in the market.  And we repeated this statement in 17 consecutive Weekly Commentaries.  We also stated on May 17, 2008 that, “Now I find there are 3 major headwinds steering the U.S. economy into a recession”

 
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