Facts That Make a Difference

1. RIGHT, BUT EARLY – Last Friday was the 12-year anniversary of the famous “irrational exuberance” speech (given on 12/05/96) by former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan.  The S&P 500 rose +105% after Greenspan’s comments were made about what he believed to be unrealistic stock values, ultimately peaking on 3/24/00 or more than 3 years later (source: Federal Reserve, BTN Research).   

2. LESS IN STOCKS - The average American worker that is participating in his/her employer’s pre-tax 401(k) plan has 54% of retirement assets invested in the stock market.  One year ago, the average balance in equities was 68% (source: Hewitt Associates).

3. WHOOPS – At the end of August, 9 Wall Street equity strategists predicted where the S&P 500 would finish the year 2008.  Their average year-end forecast was 1363.  The stock index close last week at 880 (source: Barron’s). 

4. GAS - 100 days ago . . . the nationwide average price of a gallon of gasoline was $3.67.  The average gas price fell for 86 consecutive days, a streak that ended last Saturday (12/13/08).  The cost of a gallon of gasoline dropped to $1.66 on Saturday, down $2.01 from 100 days ago (source: AAA).
 

 
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