The “Heat Map”


Most of the time, the U.S. stock market looks to 3 factors to support its upward trend – let’s grade each of the factors:


 


CONSUMER SPENDING:  I grade this factor a C (neutral).


 


THE FED AND ITS POLICIES:  I grade this factor an A+ (extremely favorable) because the FED cannot do much more than it is doing to support the stock market and asset prices.


 


BUSINESS PROFITABILITY:  I grade this factor a B+ (favorable).   Many of the biggest companies in the U.S. reported their first quarter profits last week.  Surprisingly, many beat their forecasted profits.  The scoreboard with two-thirds of the S&P 500 companies reporting their earnings:  70% have beat their earnings estimates.  And, the S&P 500 will likely report record earnings for this quarter.  If this trend holds for the next two weeks, we will raise this grade.


 


NOTE:  the above grades remain unchanged from last week.

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