The Markets This Week

After a somnolent week on Wall Street, volume kicked up Friday as traders placed rapid-fire bets on stocks affected by annual changes to the Russell indexes. But the day’s surge did little to lift U.S. stock indexes, which ended the week down slightly.

Stocks also rose—and fell—last week on news about Greece, which had only until June 30 to pay off a loan from the International Monetary Fund and was working with euro-zone leaders to unlock bailout money before the end of the weekend. Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has called a referendum for July 5 to vote on terms of the latest aid package.

The Dow rose Monday and Tuesday, fell Wednesday, rose Thursday, and fell Friday, ending the week just slightly below where it started.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 69 points, or 0.4%, on the week, to 17,946.68, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 index slipped 8.5 points, also to 2101.49. The Nasdaq Composite fell 36.5 points, or 0.7%, to 5080.51.More than $4 trillion in capital is benchmarked to the Russell indexes, according to Nicholas Colas at Convergex. Inclusion is based largely on market capitalization. When the indexes rebalanced Friday, fund managers who track them bought and sold stocks to match the new weightings. Friday’s volume on the NYSE was the year’s third highest.

Traders tend to play these moves too, with some buying shares earlier in the year of companies likely to be added to the Russell 2000, and selling them just before the rebalancing. It can be a lucrative trade: The stocks being added to the Russell 2000 are up 11% since May 1, according to Colas.

Friday’s flurry of activity came amid a longer lull in the market. With the kickoff of second-quarter earnings season still two weeks away, investors have time to fret about Greece—perhaps too much time. U.S. jobs and wage data are more important factors for the market than Greece, says Quincy Krosby, market strategist at Prudential Financial. But in the absence of new data points, investors are “waiting for a catalyst and hoping for a positive one.”

(Source: Barrons Online)

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