The Economy


Last week, on the “good news” side of the ledger, U.S. weekly jobless claims come in at their lowest reading since January 2008.  German factory orders for March grow 2.2% versus expectations of a decline of 0.5%.  And, Bank of Korea joins the party, cuts key interest rate to 2.5% from 2.75%.  Housing remains a strong positive force as Mortgage Bankers Association mortgage applications climbed 7% week-over-week, rising for the 5th consecutive week.


 


But on the negative side, April retail sales gained 2.8% v expectations of +3.5% and Wholesale sales came in weak, falling 1.6% month-over-month versus expectations of 0.1% growth.  (Source:  Big Picture).


 

My interpretation of these reports is the U.S. and global economies continue to grow at a slow pace – much slower than normal for this stage of the economic cycle.  As a result, the worlds’ central banks feel compelled to pump money into the system to stimulate growth.  Only time will judge the success of this strategy.

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