The Economy

Posted on January 18, 2011 by The Weekly Commentary

The economy continues to give us mixed signals. Here is a detailed list of these signals:

Positives:
1) Japan joins China in wanting to chip in to help Europe

2) Portugal, Spain and Italy all successfully sell debt and sets calmer tone for the week

3) US Treasury yields shrug off higher inflation readings and stay moderate (bond bulls should thank the Fed)

4) Stocks shrug off all the negatives below and continue to move higher

5) Thailand, South Korea and China take prudent steps to cool inflation pressures

Negatives:
1) PPI, CPI (record high), Import Prices, inflation expectations in Univ of Michigan, all point to upward inflation trend and JOC and CRB food indices hit record highs

2) Thailand, South Korea and China all tighten policy over inflation worries

3) Indian Sensex index falls to 4 month low after 8.4% wholesale inflation report and ahead of likely rate hike on Jan 25th

4) US Retail Sales a touch light

5) Univ of Michigan confidence light

6) Initial Claims jump but seasonal issues cloud the info

7) Muni’s break down.

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