Personal Notes

Two great games yesterday to set up an exciting Super Bowl.  The winner will end up with 4 rings.  According to Mid-West Sports, here is the list of past Super Bowl winning teams and their Super Bowl records.

Most Super Bowl Wins & All-Time Super Bowl Records

Team

Super Bowl Wins

Super Bowl Losses

Super Bowl Record

Pittsburgh Steelers

IX, X, XIII, XIV, XL, XLIII

XXX, XLV

6-2

San Francisco 49ers

XVI, XIX, XXIII, XXIV, XXIX

 

5-0

Dallas Cowboys

VI, XII, XXVII, XXVIII, XXX

V, X, XIII

5-3

Green Bay Packers

I, II, XXXI, XLV

XXXII

4-1

New York Giants

XXI, XXV, XLII

XXXV

3-1

Oakland/LA Raiders

XI, XV, XVIII

II, XXXVII

3-2

Washington Redskins

XVII, XXII, XXVI

VII, XVIII

3-2

New England Patriots

XXXVI, XXXVIII, XXXIX

XX, XXXI, XLII

3-3

Baltimore/Indianapolis Colts

V, XLI

III, XLIV

2-2

Miami Dolphins

VII, VIII

VI, XVII, XIX,

2-3

Denver Broncos

XXXII, XXXIII

XII, XXI, XXII, XXIV

2-4

Baltimore Ravens

XXXV

 

1-0

New York Jets

III

 

1-0

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

XXXVII

 

1-0

New Orleans Saints

XLIV

 

1-0

Chicago Bears

XX

XLI

1-1

Kansas City Chiefs

IV

I

1-1

St. Louis/LA Rams

XXXIV

XIV, XXXVI

1-2

 

 

 

 

Minnesota Vikings

 

IV, VIII, IX, XI

0-4

Buffalo Bills

 

XXV, XXVI, XXVII, XXVIII

0-4

Philadelphia Eagles

 

XV, XXXIX

0-2

Cincinnati Bengals

 

XVI, XXIII

0-2

Tennessee Titans

 

XXXIV

0-1

Seattle Seahawks

 

XL

0-1

San Diego Chargers

 

XXIX

0-1

Carolina Panthers

 

XXXVIII

0-1

Atlanta Falcons

 

XXXIII

0-1

Arizona Cardinals

 

XLIII

0-1

More Income Tax Complications – And How Valley National Handled Them For You

For our existing clients with brokerage accounts, Valley National has elected to report cost basis to you and the IRS using the “tax lot optimized” method on covered securities.  In the future, this election could save you thousands of dollars of income taxes on capital gains

Choosing a cost basis method– When you sell part of your holdings in a security that you’ve acquired at different times and prices, brokerage firms use a default cost basis method to determine which shares to sell.

If another cost basis method is more appropriate for your tax situation, you can switch methods. 
If you want to change the cost basis method for a specific trade, you must do so before it settles. 

An investor would change the cost basis method, in almost all cases, so as to create a short term loss or a long term loss.  It is cumbersome to have to change the method each and every time such a situation is available to the investor; so, Valley National has elected, for brokerage accounts carried at Valley National, to use the default cost basis method known as “Tax Lot Optimizer” to determine which shares to sell .  This method can be changed in the rare event that the investor does not benefit by using Tax Lot Optimizer method.

If your investment account is NOT carried by Valley National, and you would like to make sure your tax lot accounting will be optimized, please contact me for further instructions

The Markets This Week

[b-TradeDow-0123]
The Lazarus rally continued last week, and stocks raced ahead, this time by more than 2%. Following this month’s trend, the worst stocks of 2011 have been raised from the dead and are the leaders of the still young 2012.

The 50 worst-performing stocks in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index last year, for example, have jumped about 11% this year, while 2011’s 50 best stocks are up just 2%, according to Bespoke Investment Group.

Trading volumes last week were generally light, and earnings results were taken positively by the market, even though there is evidence of slowing revenue gains at some big companies. No one’s going to sniff at last week’s rise, but a pullback in the next week or two would seem to be in order.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 298.42, or 2.4%, on the week, to close at 12,720.48, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 to 1315. That’s the first weekly S&P 500 close with a 13 handle since last July. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 2.8%, to 2786.70, helped by strong fourth-quarter profits from Microsoft (ticker: MSFT) and chip maker Intel (INTC). 

While its revenue numbers were light, the biggest Lazarus of them all, Bank of America (BAC), did report better-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue Thursday. The rest of its results were made murky by charges and one-time gains, and its basic banking results weren’t stellar. Still, that didn’t stop investors from bidding up the market and the stock, the latter now up 27% this year and the leading Dow component.

“Stocks left for dead have come back to life, and people are feeling good about a rally led by financials,” notes Nicolas Colas, chief market strategist for ConvergEx Group. “It follows the old-school playbooks, and as long as banks lead, it’s going to be hard to suppress the rally” (Source: Barrons Online).

The Numbers

Last week, U.S. Stocks and Foreign Stocks increased.  Bonds declined.  During the last 12 months, BONDS outperformed STOCKS

Returns
through 1-20-2012

1-week

Y-T-D

1-Year

3-Years

5-Years

10-Years

Bonds-
BarCap  Aggregate Index

   
-.5

   
   .1

  
8.1

  
6.7

  
6.5

   
5.7

US
Stocks-Standard & Poor’s 500

  
2.1

    
4.7

  
4.9

  20.3

    
.5

   
3.6

Foreign
Stocks- MS EAFE Developed Countries

  
4.0

    
4.2

-12.0

  10.1

 -6.7

   
2.8

Source:
Morningstar Workstation. Past performance is no guarantee of future
results.  Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into
directly.  Three, five and ten year returns are annualized excluding
dividends.

Looking Ahead…

Are You
Prepared For “One of the Largest Tax Reporting Changes for Investors in over 20
Years”
*?

With new IRS regulations going into effect, your brokerage account is required to report your cost basis on “covered securities” to both you AND THE IRS.  The IRS is expected to double-check both the sales and cost of stocks, bonds, and mutual fund sales on your income tax return.

That does not sound so tough – so, what’s the problem?  Well, leave it up to the IRS to make the tax forms complicated!  Many investors will be required to prepare up to 6 additional forms to attach to Schedule D for their stock, bond or mutual fund sales. 
Our tax prep staff has you covered.  We attended a 2 hour webinar last week on this topic and a two day tax update workshop in December.  Not only do we know how to fill out the new forms, we have the entire cost basis for your investments purchased in accounts held at Valley National.

For more information about the new IRS regulations, click:


Contact my office if you have questions about completing your own tax return – we can provide an on-line tax center and an easy to use brochure featuring an overview of the revised reporting requirements.

*As quoted by Deanna Flores of KPMG, an international accounting firm.

Real Life Situations

Question:

I would like to give my children solid financial advice.  Do you have any recommendations on what to tell them?

Answer:

“Pay yourself first”.  Many consumers have heard that term but fail to implement it as a strategy in their own personal finance.  A great way to save for a financial goal (or retirement) is to set up a routine, automatic periodic investment program into a solid growth and income mutual fund.  It’s less complicated than its name.  Just specify the amount per month (say $100) that you think you can afford. The amount can be withdrawn automatically from your checking account.  And, try to save at least 25% of annual bonuses or windfalls by writing a check and depositing using a tear off coupon-type deposit slip you receive after the first routine deposit.  This investment style, sometimes referred to as “dollar cost averaging” is a good approach to investing because you end up purchasing more shares when the price of the fund is low.  It’s a proven technique, but remember, dollar cost averaging does not assure a profit or protect again loss in declining markets.

“Your Financial Choices” on WDIY 88.1 FM

The show airs on WDIY Wednesday evenings, from 6-7 p.m. The show is hosted by Valley National’s Laurie Siebert CPA, CFP. This week Laurie will discuss:

“Get ready for some new tax filing forms!!”  

Laurie will take your calls on this subject and other financial planning topics at 610-758-8810.  This show will be broadcast at the regular time. WDIY is broadcast on FM 88.1 for reception in most of the Lehigh Valley; and, it is broadcast on FM 93.9 in the Easton/Phillipsburg area; and, it is broadcast on FM 93.7 in the Fogelsville/Macungie area – or listen to it online from anywhere on the internet.  For more information, including how to listen to the show online, check the show’s website www.yourfinancialchoices.com and visit www.wdiy.org.  

Personal Notes

   

I am proud to not only live in Bethlehem, PA but also
maintain my main office here, too.  My fellow residents of Bethlehem are
proud of its progress-and the attention it receives nationally and
internationally.  Fellow Lehigh Valley residents are pleased to see the
renaissance permeate throughout the entire valley.  Bethlehem is a
microcosm of America.  It was founded by individuals seeking freedom to
express their religious views.  Many possessed highly skilled
craftsmanship which helped form an industrial base.  This eventually grew
to a world renowned heavy industrial center.  Bethlehem then transitioned
through the disassembling of America’s industrial base in the last
quarter-century to emerge with a broad based economy, fast becoming a regional
center for the arts, entertainment and historical/cultural programming.

Arts, entertainment and historical/cultural programming are
making a big impact within Bethlehem and the Lehigh Valley.  Employers are
choosing to locate their companies in the Lehigh Valley over competitors, in
part, because of these.  Three new hotels were opened in Bethlehem last
year, the only city its size to do so in Pennsylvania-and one of very few in
America.  As Jeff Parks, President of Bethlehem-based ArtsQuest was quoted
in the Morning Call on Saturday:

“What we are doing at ArtsQuest is
simply not being done anywhere else.  We are, in many respects, on the
cutting edge of arts and cultural programming in communities of less than a
million people.”

Personally, if I am going to “Talk the talk” then I will
“walk the walk” by increasing my involvement in my community.  I fulfill
this community service ambition, in part, by serving on both the Historic
Bethlehem Partnership Board and the ArtsQuest (Musikfest, SteelStacks, &
The Banana Factory) Foundation Board.  Perhaps, you too would like to
increase your community involvement.  Click on the hyperlinks below to
explore membership or other ways of involvement in these two (which are just a
couple examples of many fine organizations in the LV):

http://www.historicbethlehem.org

http://www.artsquest.org

Through the many discussions with Bethlehem and Lehigh Valley
clients and the involvement on the Historic Bethlehem and ArtsQuest Boards, I
am developing a 30,000 feet look at what is happening in Bethlehem and the
greater Lehigh Valley– and its moving in the right direction.  Perhaps, if
Stanley Kubrick were here, he might say, “The most extraordinarily amazing
things are about to happen”.

The Markets This Week

The last continue to be first, as some of 2011’s most
hated stocks, the financials in particular, led the market to another week of
gains. Equities rose almost 1% last week in decent trading volumes.

Investment banks and brokerage firms—down some 44% last
year—were again among the leading groups and are up about 10% so far in 2012.
Stocks fell Friday, but still managed to finish above the day’s lows.

The year is young, but it might not be a coincidence
that financials turned on a dime Jan. 2. There appear to be some preliminary
moves by institutional investors to raise their exposure to beaten-up
financials.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, rose 62, or 0.5% on
the week, to close at 12,422.06. Dow component Bank of America (ticker: BAC) is
the leader of the pack, up 19% in 2012. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index
rose 0.88% to 1289.09, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.4% to 2710.67.

While the travails of the European debt crisis hurt
Friday—France was downgraded by Standard & Poor’s—the profit-taking was
minimal, points out Marc Pado, U.S. market strategist for Cantor Fitzgerald.
Last year’s dogs, the economically sensitive groups like financials, autos and
materials, are leading in 2012.

“You would have expected that in the first week,”
he adds, but Pado asserts this week’s second rise means it’s more than a
bounce. Institutions are taking a new look at financials and are reducing the
underweight of those stocks in their portfolios, he says.

Those same investors, adds Tim Ghriskey, chief
investment officer at Solaris Asset Management, are trying to decipher which
banks will be allowed by the Federal Reserve to raise dividends and buy back
stock after April’s stress test.

Another possible rally support could come from pension
funds, which are having to reallocate assets, adds Ghriskey, because yields are
so low.

NEWSPAPERS ARE FILLED WITH HORROR stories about the
pension-fund woes of the public sector. There are cities and states around the
country that might have to fire policemen and firemen to cut expenses and meet
their onerous pension obligations.

Corporate America’s growing pension problem, however,
appears to be off investor radar screens right now. That perhaps won’t last
much longer, as the close of 2011’s company books means their pension-fund data
will be updated relatively soon. During the first-quarter earnings season,
there could be some nasty surprises in store for investors as some companies
reveal a need for unexpectedly large contributions later this year to their underfunded
pension plans, if plan performance has worsened.

In a recent report, Credit Suisse analyst David Zion
took a look at the pension-funding disclosures of the companies in the S&P
500 index and estimates that as of year-end 2011 these plans in aggregate are
underfunded to the tune of roughly $458 billion. That’s equivalent to 3% of
U.S. gross domestic product. The pension pothole continues to get bigger, as
plan funding levels have fallen to a new low of 74%, he figures, compared with
S&P 500 companies having their pension plans 84% funded and a $246 billion
hole about one year ago(Source:  Barrons Online).