– “Government always finds a need for whatever money it gets.”
– “Government does not solve problems; it subsidizes them.”

–Ronald Reagan

1. Super Accurate Radiation Robots Kill Cancer Cells and Leave Healthy Ones Untouched- A new generation of radiation robots is lowering the rate of dead healthy cells by more accurately targeting cancer. (Source:  http://www.physorg.com/news194014523.html)

2. Researchers Manipulate Single Biomolecules at Low Cost – A new massively parallel approach for manipulating single DNA and protein molecules and studying their interactions under force, called “single molecule centrifugation,” has been developed by researchers from the Rowland Institute at Harvard University. The “The Centrifuge Force Microscope” (CFM) allows for improvements in throughput and cost in studying biological systems ranging from DNA replication to blood clotting, compared to technologies such as optical and magnetic tweezers and the atomic force microscope. (Source: http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2010-06/hu-smf052610.php).

“Your Financial Choices” airs on WDIY Wednesday evenings, from 6-7 p.m. The show is hosted by Valley National’s Laurie Siebert CPA, CFP®.  This week, Host Laurie Siebert, CPA, CFP® will be joined by guest Cate Williams, VP of Financial Literacy with Money Management International, a non-profit credit counseling program – managing debt and helping people find that vital balance between having credit to buy smart but still having a saving plan – no matter what stage of life you are in or how much money you make.

Laurie will take your calls on this subject and other financial planning topics at 610-758-8810. WDIY is broadcast on FM 88.1 for reception in most of the Lehigh Valley; and, it is broadcast on FM 93.9 in the Easton/Phillipsburg area; and, it is broadcast on FM 93.7 in the Fogelsville/Macungie area – or listen to it online from anywhere on the internet.  For more information, including how to listen to the show online, check the show’s website www.yourfinancialchoices.com and visit www.wdiy.org. 

Great round of golf on Saturday.  I did not post a great score.  Instead, it was a beautiful day filled with wildlife.  On the first hole I observed a mink running along the creek side; and, at the first green I watched two huge red-tailed hawks glaring at me from their nest 30 feet above me.

U.S. Stocks and Foreign stocks both declined this week while bonds rose.  During the last 12 months, STOCKS have substantially outperformed bonds. 

Source: Morningstar Workstation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  Indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly.  Three, five and ten year returns are annualized.  Assumes dividends are not reinvested.

Photo courtesy of REUTERS

IF THE PAST SIX WEEKS ARE ANY indication, the stock market could be hemmed in a nervous trading range this summer.

Marking the upper border of that range is the Standard & Poor’s 500 index’s late-April peak of 1217. This high-water mark, however, is rapidly receding from view as traders cut their expectations for U.S. economic growth below the average 3.6% pace it clocked since last summer. The latest blow was dealt Friday, when the government reported 431,000 jobs created in May, almost all due to temporary census hiring, while the private sector added only 41,000 workers. Are prospective employers becoming unnerved by Europe’s debt crisis and the market’s unfolding correction?

Friday’s 3.4% selloff marked the worst one-day reaction to a jobs report in at least a dozen years, and it hurtled the S&P 500 toward the lower end of its 2010 range — the 1041 threshold that had lured bargain hunters in early February and again in late May.

There are encouraging signs the market is groping for stability after the worst May in a half century. BP’s American depositary shares (ticker: BP) managed their first back-to-back gains since the April 20 rig explosion wiped nearly $60 billion off the company’s market value. Europe, the epicenter of the market’s woes, saw its pan-European stock benchmark inch up 0.2% last week for its third gain in four weeks.

Investors have also reacted quickly, and resolutely, at the first whiff of trouble. By the end of May, they had yanked nearly $30 billion from stock mutual funds — a one-month flight from risk that surpassed the $25 billion withdrawn in February 2009, or the $26 billion pulled in March 2009. That was just before this bull run began and when the economic outlook was far grimmer.

Still, last week’s tally was ugly. Copper prices, that barometer of global construction zeal, tumbled 9% to a fresh 2010 low. Blue-chip stocks outperformed their smaller peers, but neither were spared. With money managers bound for the beach and their deputies erring on the side of caution, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost $106 billion of its market value on Friday alone. It ended the week down 205, or 2%, to 9932. The S&P 500 absorbed its fourth loss in six weeks. It has fallen 12.5% since late-April and is just a hair above its 2010 low. The Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 38, or 1.7%, to 2219, while the Russell 2000 gave up 28, or 4.2%, to 634.

In the coming weeks, demand from Europe will start to wane as governments in Germany, the U.K., Spain and Italy tighten their belts. The euro skidded to a four-year low below US$1.20 Friday, dimming the glow of American exports. U.S. states are trimming budgets and raising taxes. A messy oil spill crimps the Gulf Coast, a ban on offshore drilling thwarts some energy companies, and the threat of financial regulation hangs over Wall Street.

One Wall Street strategist thinks the market has just begun the process of lowering profit projections, and advocates a less economically sensitive and more defensive stock portfolio. He thinks a 1050 to 1150 range represents “fair value” for the S&P 500 at the end of this year. But with the S&P 500 trading near 13 times projected 2010 profits, “further downside to prices could be fairly limited,” even if the index’s profit estimates are cut $3 or $4. In other words, the 1000 threshold for the S&P 500 “represents good value and could be an attractive entry point.”

All this assumes, of course, that our economy merely slows but does not start to stall, and here there are reasons to be hopeful. Among other things, southern Europe’s fiscal chaos is “an aftershock of the global financial crisis and not a sign of a new crisis developing,” argued a chief market strategist, recently. Already, “expectations for the euro zone are low and do not need to be cut drastically.” The ratio of debt to gross domestic product for countries like Greece is staggering, at about 1-to-1, but still far less leveraged than comparable ratios pushing 40-to-1 for the likes of Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns (Source: Barrons Online).

AND, THE WINNER IS……BY DEFAULT…… THE AMERICAN DOLLAR.  The Dollar has returned to its position as the world’s currency of choice; and, the U.S. stock market is clearly more appealing to global investors and institutions than the European markets.  Money will probably flow into the American stock and bond markets supporting its recovery after the sentiment turns more positive.  See the next article for more information about what needs to happen to improve investors’ sentiment.

The stock market is a type of control system which is a combination of components that act together to maintain actual system performance close to a desired set of performance specifications.   The flash crash of 5/6/2010 was a terrible black eye for the U.S. stock market because that day’s volatility has not yet been adequately explained – raising the question as to whether the stock market is out of control.   This question leads to uncertainty in the minds of investors.  Uncertainty similar to the Greece/Europe situation is magnified.  The result is heightened market volatility.

Two announcements are needed in order to reduce uncertainty and calm the markets:

1. The U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission (the SEC) must announce new rules on how the U.S. stock exchanges transact and operate – effectively putting the system back into control.

2. The member countries of the European Union (the EU) coordinate with the United States, Japan, and other majority economic powers to support the Euro and the European banking system.

In my opinion, both announcements will occur.  But, I am unsure of the timing.  If the announcements occur in the next week or two, the Greece/Europe situation will not derail the global economic rebound – and, the stock markets will probably rebound from their recent sell-off.

QUESTION:  I am an employee and I do not itemize.  How can I reduce my income taxes?

Answer:  Be aggressive if your employer offers a medical reimbursement account — sometimes called a flex plan. These plans let you divert part of your salary to an account which you can then tap to pay medical bills. The advantage? You avoid both income and Social Security tax on the money, and that can save you 20% to 35% or more compared with spending after-tax money.

Feel free to contact me if you or someone you know has this type of situation.  Tax laws can be tricky; thus, the above answer cannot be applied to all circumstances because the slightest variation could cause a different outcome.

“If everything seems under control, you’re just not going fast enough.”
                                                                            
                                                                            –Mario Andretti